Ruling parties
enjoy advantage in by-elections
Voters see
little point in antagonising their rulers in
the by-elections. They are not expected
to deviate from the general election trend. In the by-elections to the Lok
Sabha, the Bharatiya Janata Party won one each in Madhya Pradesh and Assam, but
lost to the Trinamool in West Bengal. The people over there reposed their
faith in Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee. Was that “people’s revolt” against the
demonetisation move of the BJP-led government at the Centre?
Whether due to
the demonetisation or the lower stakes in the deferred elections, there was
reportedly a reduced flow of currency notes, and a less intense campaign. By-elections are not pointers to how an Assembly or Lok Sabha election
will turn out, but vice versa is true. The
results may not reflect the mood of the nation but the margin of win or lose
may prove the popularity of the government. The elections held are in some
states and not in large number of constituencies. Hence, the results have
little impact on policy matters
It is doubtful
whether Mamata's claim that the victory of TMC candidate is a vote against
demonetisation is true. If it were so, why did the BJP increase its vote share?
In advanced
democracies (more a Utopian dream) it is said that by-elections afford an
opportunity for resentment voting. That means the opposition has a better
chance of winning by gaining on the thorns and horns in those on the throne.
Our democracies appear to toe the incumbents' line for the constituents are
either bought or are being bought. It is more a cash nexus than an expression
of enlightened public reaction. The turning of a new leaf requires a mature
electorate not a meek set of supplicants who lie prostrate at the feet of the
elected by virtue of their dire dependence on the rulers for favours for
themselves and for their kith and kin. It is more extended family politics or
politricks than desirable democratic practices leading to progressive
development as a nation with a vision. Their mission appears to feather
individual nests rather than getting their benefits from overall, extensive
development that is more national than parochial or rather familial.
Black money is
a course for this country but if it becomes an issue of financial crisis then
the result could be dangerous. Centre will have to gain support from state
government to make this black money mission accomplish.
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