Our economy is still not out of the woods
In India prices are rising and
manufacturing is slowing. Although
there is a sharp improvement in India’s rank on a World Bank index the economy is still not entirely out of
the woods. Rising oil prices is an
example. We have slower growth with
weak exports at a time when global trade is recovering. Job creation is still
to pick up and the latest inflation
data is cause for concern. Rising onion and tomato prices pushed
vegetable inflation to a high.
Surely there will be back up plans for sustaining the growth momentum and
the government will unleash the plans soon. Considering the volatility of fuel
prices, the dependency on it would be very limited and we can expect some
policy measures from the government soon to curb the inflation menace.
Over-analysis of fluctuations in the growth rate of our economy is not
going to be of much help. What is required is a long term strategy for
harnessing our resources towards sustainable capital formation and increased
production of wage goods. For this purpose, we must have a centralized planning
body controlled by a popular government. The government has difficult choices.
The statistics of economic growth reflect partial reality. The actual
situation changes with time and policies of government. Generation of jobs has
slowed down and inflation is rising. The scenario has changed from what was
reported in the economic growth statistics a few days ago
Low prices for vegetables is killing farmers. Our government should have
some mercy on them and support high food inflation. On one hand low prices of
fruits and vegetable are killing farmers on other hand high prices of same is
killing consumers. This type of contradictory situation is arising due to long
and inefficient chains of middlemen.
The government may pave the way for some sustained revival by adopting
certain austerity measures. First, it is advisable to curb the splurge the
politicians indulge in, in gay abandon. Secondly, the election fund should be
done away with by making the spending the concerned candidates' onus.
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