US provides temporary relief to India
The U.S. administration has decided to grant India and seven other
countries waiver on Chabahar and on oil purchases from Iran and this brings
relief, although temporarily. This will help the Modi government tide over
until the general elections, without any major oil price shocks. The waivers
announced cover Indian investment in Iran’s Chabahar port and the plan to build
a railway line from Chabahar to Afghanistan to facilitate trade.
Both India and China, Iran’s two biggest oil importers, have been
extended waivers. The European
Union, Russia and China have also been working on a “special payment mechanism”
to circumvent sanctions. But they have yet to launch it, limiting India’s
options. Moreover, despite the waivers from the U.S., India will still face the
impact of the U.S. sanctions, both on oil and on its investment in Chabahar, as
very few international companies may be willing to undertake contracts.
India has lost its moral leverage because it chose to reduce its oil
intake from Iran, and entered into negotiations for alternative fuel supplies
from Iran’s rivals in the Gulf. This should not affect Delhi-Tehran ties in the
long run since we had to put national interest first when we dealt with any
nation and on the same side we had to be ready to face challenges that the U.
S. or any other country threw at us. Sanction on Iran on crude oil export is
removed for temporary period. What will happen after that? India is one of
major importer from Iran. India should discover some options.
Some Indians expected India to stand its ground against such
"unilateral sanctions". India did not. No major country around the
world except US's own declared allies like Japan honoured it. Non-compliant
nations include India's declared rival China, Russia, EU, and Turkey. Has this
capitulation on India's part amounted to India’s fall from grace at the world
stage? In 2015 when the major powers negotiated the Iran Nuclear Deal, the
format used was P5+1, that was, all the five permanent members of UNSC plus one
member. By any definition, the Plus One slot should have gone to India. Bit
instead, they gave it to Germany. Was this because of India’s tendency to bow
down to the US? Does India have any other choice? No!
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