Why is the
value of Rupee eroding?
The value of Indian rupee continues to
worsen. Why? There are domestic factors that seem to be working against the
rupee. Trade data
shows acceleration in exports and a
significant fall in imports; if these trends continue, the value of
rupee will worsen still more.
It’s government’s illogical
policies/pressures that have troubled the Indian economy and has sent us in a
state of fix. We are facing stagflation today. If we try to rectify inflation
then stagnation worsens and vice versa.
RBI governor tried to control inflation but under the
pressure of the government he had to decrease marginal standing facility to
help the business houses raise cheap loans so that they may reap more profits
by selling more products to consumers.
Can Inflation be ever controlled by
these dubious moves? The swing in its value has made investors from abroad to
think twice when investing in India .
Rupee slide is detrimental to Indian
economy as we import more than we export - especially oil imports, which is the
key to inflation, will be dearer due to rupee slide. RBI has to take strict
measures to control the stability of rupee which is key to keep the interest
rates, inflation and economic instability under control. As election is round
the corner, high volatility of prices, rupee and stock market may lead to a
volatile marketplace both economically, financially and politically. UPA and
RBI should focus on limiting current account deficit, trade deficit and
managing financial instrument diligently to make a significant impression
rather than looking for last few pennies to make before they
give away power.
Rupee will rebound after the elections.
But the future will not be bright because of the structural faults. The
structural faults are related to high corruption, lack of discipline,
ignorance, poor governance, and lack of unity within the nation. The
environment in India
is not conducive to fix these structural faults. They still look to the West
for approval of their performance and this lack of confidence is a result of
the above stated structural faults. A strong and honest government is needed to
fix these structural faults.
The Rupee has been weakening ever since
the country attained independence in 1947. One had to pay Rs. 4.50 to a Dollar
to buy an air ticket to the USA
in 1966. Today, the price of an air ticket to the USA is almost the same in Dollars
but, in Rupee terms, it is 15 times what it was in 1966. China is
manipulating its currency exchange rate to prevent Yuan from appreciating. Here
we are struggling to keep INR from depreciating. What a contrast!
Fall of rupee against dollar is matter a
of serious concern for a parent
whose son/daughter studying abroad with
meager scholarship and need
support from India . Fall of every rupee affects
those parents who live on
a fixed monthly salary, though some
exporters may be celebrating the weakening rupee.
Successive governments’ misplaced
priorities have had their share of influence on eroding the value of Rupee. We
need to concentrate more on Primary Sector (Agriculture and allied services) to
bring about a structural change in economy. The government must take steps to
make agriculture a profitable proposition.
This is the only way forward to improve
our economy and instill the faith in our currency.
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