Dynastic politics in Tamil Nadu
As DMK president, Stalin has no
challengers from within in winning the political legacy of his father M.
Karunanidhi. The undisputed leader of the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, M.K.
Stalin faced the greatest challenge from within his immediate family than from
the wider party organisation.
Stalin also needed to beat back the
challenge from his elder brother, M.K. Alagiri. Alagiri had been expelled from the party in 2014 on the suggestion of
Karunanidhi himself. Alagiri is
putting up a fight from outside the party. He is politically isolated now.
Unless Stalin leads the DMK to successive electoral defeats, Alagiri cannot
hope to win back any support within the party.
For Stalin, the real worry is not
his brother but his political opponents. The election that matters most for
him, the Tamil Nadu Assembly election, is not due for another three years. Stalin
must be hoping that the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam government of
Edappadi K. Palaniswami will not survive that long, The entry of film actors
Kamal Haasan and Rajinikanth into electoral politics has introduced new
variables into the political mix.
Stalin will need to reinvent
himself and the DMK. Sons succeeding fathers as political leaders, and that
also unopposed, is not good for demicracy. Unless Azhagiri and Kanimozhi unite
and float a party, there is no scope for the former in political arena. By
outwitting his elder brother, Stalin has shown that he has learnt the tricks of
the trade fairly well. The big question is whether he will use this to earn the
support of the people of Tamil Nadu by instigating programmes that will benefit
the common man, or whether he will use his Machiavellian expertise to amass
personal wealth. Only time will tell.
The fact that this is yet another
dynastic fight does not augur well for the people of Tamil Nadu. The people of
Tamil Nadu, like those in other parts of India appear to believe in modern
versions of Kings and Queens ruling the state. A pathetic situation.
It may be too early to conclude
that there is no challenge to Stalin. Discontent is brewing and may pose future
obstacles. The other son Allagiri is waiting to bid his claim. It is not
appropriating the legacy but appropriating the family business. The media
unfortunately allows this kind of family political companies to flourish
instead of condemning the lack of democratic space in these parties.
If one looks at the Tamil Nadu
political scenario pragmatically, there is no real challenge facing Stalin's
ascent to power as its next CM. However, for him to retain power, it will be
essential for him to break away from the past political processes of patronage
and drive towards corruption-free government focused on rapid social,
scientific and economic development, setting aside old political red herrings
of caste and religious questions, to bring Tamil Nadu into the 21st century
comity of civilized communities.He will feel disruptive pressures from Delhi,
and elsewhere.
DMK reached the top, although the
group was split into a formidable AIADMK under MG Ramachandran (MGR) that
continued to have sway in TN during Jaya's period, through Tamil and Dravida
sentiments. Karuna Nidhi played with his deft hands, mainly oratory skills and
one-upmanship in Political maneuvering. Today the situations and challenges are
different: Jobs to young people; Industrial and Agricultural development;
affordable housing; affordable medical support and social inequality - these
are prime matters that need attention of any Political party, and if Stalin is
able to lead his group on even just one of those problem-solutions, he could be
the next BIG Tamil Nadu leader. Or else, he would simply be another also-ran Leader
like a Vaiko/ Ramdos/Mooppnar etc. The TN cauldron is hotting up.
The challenges before Stalin are
bigger than what his father faced in his long political journey. The chief
among them is to maintain the firm hold his father kept till the end on the
party and the rock solid support he commanded from the cadres. The squabbles
within the family are only likely to increase instead of abatement. Much
depends on the outcome of the ongoing cases against Maran brothers and
Kanimozhi. He should be able to quickly overcome the impending surprises and
shocks. The lacklustre performance of the state government should create a
tailwind for Comrade Stalin.
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