Thursday, March 2, 2017

Dinesh Kamath's Editorial 'Extreme caution is needed with China' that was published in Newsband

Extreme caution is needed with China
There were recent discussions between Indian and Chinese officials in Afghanistan. This is a welcome sign. In Afghanistan, where both China and India see potential for investment and share concerns over the rise of radicalism and terrorism, there are many avenues for cooperation. Beijing initiated the special talks and proposed a “joint development project”. There was broad agreement on trade and economic ties,
China is no longer opposing India’s Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) membership as a non-signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. In May, a conference (B&RI, or One Belt, One Road) hosted by President Xi Jinping will bring all of India’s neighbourhood to Beijing, with the exception of India. India will not join the B&RI as the $51-billion China Pakistan Economic Corridor, now an integral part of the B&RI initiative, runs through areas of Pakistan-occupied Kashmir.
It appears that China is very clear that it does everything it can do to oppose India. The CPEC is nothing but a road built next to Indian border so as to enable the Chinese troops to move to support Pakistan in case of an attack on India. The Pakistani ports are already occupied by the Chinese. India's biggest mistake is that it continues to kowtow to the Chinese. By havng a tarde deficit of $60 Bn annually, the Indian government is financing the anti-India movements launched by China.
India seems to be continuing to grapple with the problem of a positive and useful Foreign Policy vis-a-vis own developments and long term needs. India needs to work on own developments to help our own people enter better prosperity levels. Relationship between India and China has become the most controversial subject from and this is only due to the interference of Pakistan. Free and frank discussions between two countries held umpteen times has brought the leaders of two countries closer but has left scars in the form of disagreeing views on NSG and Terrorist Masood. In the end, India is left in a situation where she needs China’s acceptance of India’s view point on both issues. China’s refuses to fall in line.
Afghanistan is used as a leverage to improve Indo-China relations and neglecting our core issues. Till we resolve our mutual mistrust generated after the 1962 war and surviving today, the relations are less probable to improve in strategic terms. Our core issue is border dispute which hampers our relationship in other dimensions like economic cooperation and people to people contacts. China must realize that no sovereign country will compromise on settled areas. Just like China cannot compromise on Tibet, india cannot compromise on Arunachal. Also for a democratic country, politics do not allow to compromise on territory. Both the countries should accept status quo on current border and improve relationship on other dimensions of bilateral ties.
India finds itself in a fix now. Raising the issue of, and opposing, the China Pakistan Economic Corridor passing through PoK on international (or multilateral fora) would inevitably internationalize the Kashmir issue.

Relations between China and India have always been precarious and very hostile at times. China has no standing in Afghanistan except as an investor to cart away their natural wealth with absolutely no concern for environmental degradation (a Chinese practice all over poor Asia, Africa & South America) while India is a civilizational friend with immense interests in their welfare and security. The clever Chinese want to piggyback on the rich dividends of Indo-Afghan friendship having realized that the Pakistanis are considered mortal enemies by most Afghans. Sidestepping the Chinese stand on NSG or Masood Azhar would not diminish the setback in relationship which was never good to start with because of the deep mistrust we have with China. China lacks credibility because of its words & deeds. Extreme caution is needed with China.

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