Indo-Pak problems can be
solved only when India receives US support
The Modi
government deserves to be praised for wanting to open up to South Asia in a big way. The government wants a peaceful South Asia since a peaceful region will be key to realising India’s own growth
potential.
But the problem
for India is the attitude of Pakistan. After
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, along with other SAARC leaders, was invited to
attend Narendra Modi’s swearing-in ceremony last May, it raised hopes for a
positive engagement. But since then, Pakistani and Indian forces have been
exchanging fire intermittently across the Line of Control and the international
border. That is worrying India.
We have been
having these talks with Pakistan for a long time and all we see is how both the
parties talk and how Pakistan most of the time don’t abide. Then why hold these
futile talks at all. It is high time India indulged in tough talk. Until
Pakistan stops encouraging the terrorist groups there will be no use of these
visits/talks.
The summit style
diplomacy which focuses much on hype and personality cult of respective leaders
has yielded less than desired outcomes when it comes to Indo-Pak relationships.
Instead pragmatic, realistic and issue based diplomacy which includes every
significant stakeholder and which tries to arrive at decision after taking into
account every significant issue, may actually produce small yet lasting
results.
Pakistan is a
tough nut to crack. It's own political atmosphere is riddled by clerics,
Taliban, ISI, army and a PM who is always at the receiving end of all these.
India has no choice but to continue to engage in a dialogue, at times
successfully and most of it in a deadlock.
As history of last
65 years shows, the biggest stumbling block between India and Pakistan coming
together as friendly neighbours has been the internal situation of that country
and the dominance of Pak Army in external matters specially concerning India.
Add to that the obsession of most political parties of Pakistan on Kashmir
issue, despite knowing the fact that Kashmir issue can never be solved on
Pakistan or Kashmir separatists' terms. These are the two complicating factors.
It seems
successive Indian governments make a show of talking to Pakistan to silence the
Indian media and some intellectuals who do not tire of advocating talks with
that country, no matter that the outcome is well known.
Every time there
is an upswing in US-Pak relationship, the Pakistani swagger and bravado goes up
a few notches. Now, the greater involvement of China in Afghan affairs
emboldens it even more.
Whenever the Indian
Government attempts to improve relationship with Pakistan there are certain ground realities that are
to be considered, if some success has to be achieved by such a move. (1)
Pakistan is not a purely Government controlled state; but the country works
under four parallel controls: The elected Government; the Army; the ISI;
Mullahs (Terror groups). (2) One main contentious issue is that of Kashmir,
vis-a-vis the "disputed" Pak controlled area. (3) There are some
splinter groups here such as the Hurriat, Separatists etc. (4) There is the
Dawood issue. Unless all of these Groups are allowed to be involved in a
combined discussion, any talks for a resolution would be futile. The earlier we
decide to look at these realities, the better would be the possibility for some
solution. We should achieve success before Chinese enters into the fray.
If only India wins the support of US, we will
be in a position to solve all the Indo-Pak problems. We will have to wait and
see as to when US will withdraw its support to Pakistan and lend us its
support.
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